Wolfe Waves and Rectangles - Updates

So its been a few days and this post serves as an update to how the concept is faring.

CADCHF

A minor adjustment was needed and the latest ETA shows 18th or 19th July as against the earlier ETA's of 17/18th July. Anyways, its only a day more so let's see how things shape up. This pair at the time of writing is trading at 0.9046... our target is 0.89 to be reached by 18th/19th.

Previous update on this pair can be found here.

My view so far... price is likely to reach the target, although personally I expected the target to be reached today on account of BoC press conference and rate statement.

CVX (Chevron)

Based on this experiment, we expect price to trade in the region of $110 - $113 in/around 19th August. Currently, price is still near the tops at $124.93.

Details on the experiment for CVX can be found here.

CVX - Update, 17th July
I did a bit more adjustments to this and came up with some new findings. From the chart above, the key price levels/dates to keep in mind are:

  • $115.99 is the price point for WW3 and thus seems like the most likely price level to be hit
  • $111.04 is our lowest target for completion of wave 5 and ideally should happen on or before 23rd August
  • $130 - $133 is the likely target for the Wolfe Wave, which should be between 23/08 - 13/09
  • The updated Wolfe Wave for Chevron also gives us the final price projection of $138 by 21st October 2013
USDCAD 

Forgot to save the damned chart and no patience to go back and construct the Wolfe waves. Details here.

GOOG

Google is going to be a very interesting experiment. In regards to new developments for Google, I notice that price has been pretty much contained within $929.93 and points to a bearish drop. See chart below for details.

GOOG - Wolfe Waves, Updated 17th July
What's of concern is the ETA's don't quite add up.

For one, it seems like a price drop towards 838.98 - 829 by 19th July seems highly unlikely, unless they post some really bad earnings report. On the same note, WW shows us the EPA/ETA to be $807.64 by 25th August. Previous update for this pair is here.

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